The EERI tracks geopolitical risk, gas supply disruptions, and market stress across European energy systems. Updated daily, it provides a single composite score from 0 to 100 measuring systemic risk in European energy markets.
EERI aggregates alert severity, regional conflict concentration, and energy asset exposure into a single daily index focused on European energy systems. It captures geopolitical tensions, gas supply disruptions, sanctions impacts, and market volatility affecting natural gas, crude oil, LNG, and power infrastructure across Europe.
⚔️
Geopolitical Risk
High
⛽
Energy Supply
Medium
📊
Market Stress
Low
📈
EERI History (14 days)
Public 14-day EERI history (24h delayed)
🧠
EERI Interpretation
Risk indicators in European energy markets have risen to elevated levels, signaling meaningful pressure across key supply corridors. Current conditions suggest emerging vulnerabilities that warrant heightened attention from market participants and European energy stakeholders.
The elevated stress level reflects a combination of factors affecting transit, storage, or supply dynamics in critical European regions. While conditions do not yet indicate critical disruption, the trajectory suggests prudent contingency awareness is advisable for energy-dependent industries.
📊 Weekly Risk Snapshot
How European energy risk evolved this week and how markets responded.
⚡ Weekly EERI Overview
Week: Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2026
Average Risk
29 (MODERATE)
Trend vs Prior Week
↑ Rising
Weekly High
49 (Mon)
Weekly Low
17 (Sat)
Risk Regime Distribution
ELEVATED
1 day
MODERATE
3 days
LOW
3 days
Cross-Asset Risk Confirmation
Did markets validate the risk environment this week?
TTF Gas
-2.64%
⚠ Diverging
Gas markets moved against risk direction, suggesting isolated supply dynamics.
Brent Oil
-2.4%
⚠ Diverging
Oil markets showed resilience despite elevated European risk.
VIX
-8.96%
⚠ Diverging
Volatility markets remained calm despite elevated energy risk signals.
EUR/USD
-0.81%
🟡 Neutral
EUR/USD remained stable despite energy market stress.
EU Gas Storage
+2.21%
⚠ Diverging
Storage levels held steady despite elevated risk signals.
LNG (JKM)
-1.45%
🟡 Neutral
LNG markets showed limited reaction to European risk conditions.
EERI vs TTF Gas
EERI vs Brent Oil
EERI vs EU Storage
EERI vs VIX
EERI vs EUR/USD
⚠Markets Diverging From Risk
Markets showed limited confirmation of elevated risk, suggesting potential underpricing of geopolitical stress.
Historical Context
Historically, weeks where EERI spends multiple days in MODERATE territory are associated with:
Markets typically operate within normal ranges
Gas price volatility remains subdued
Risk sentiment broadly stable
Seasonal patterns dominate over geopolitical signals