European Energy Risk Index (EERI)
The EERI tracks geopolitical risk, gas supply disruptions, and market stress across European energy systems. Updated daily, it provides a single composite score from 0 to 100 measuring systemic risk in European energy markets.
What EERI Measures
EERI aggregates alert severity, regional conflict concentration, and energy asset exposure into a single daily index focused on European energy systems. It captures geopolitical tensions, gas supply disruptions, sanctions impacts, and market volatility affecting natural gas, crude oil, LNG, and power infrastructure across Europe.
EERI History (14 days)
Public 14-day EERI history (24h delayed)
EERI Interpretation
Today’s European Energy Risk Index signals a period of elevated structural stress across the continent’s energy systems, even in the absence of acute, headline-driving events. This elevated band underscores persistent vulnerabilities in Europe’s energy infrastructure and market fundamentals, rather than reflecting immediate shocks or disruptions. For gas and oil flows, the index points to a market environment where underlying fragilities—such as legacy supply chain constraints, ongoing decarbonization pressures, and latent geopolitical uncertainties—continue to weigh on system resilience. Market stability, while not under direct threat from any single event today, remains susceptible to sudden shifts should latent risks materialize or if unforeseen incidents were to occur.
📊 Weekly Risk Snapshot
How European energy risk evolved this week and how markets responded.
Did markets validate the risk environment this week?
Historically, weeks where EERI spends multiple days in ELEVATED territory are associated with:
- Gas markets may show directional uncertainty
- Oil markets often display mixed signals
- Risk sentiment tends toward gradual normalization
- Supply-chain indicators warrant close monitoring