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Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - March 13, 2026

Digest Date: 2026-03-13  |  Based on Alerts From: 2026-03-12  |  Total Alerts: 20
24h Delayed (Free Plan)
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Global Risk Tone: Elevated
Based on 20 alerts analyzed from 2026-03-12
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Index Movement Summary

GERI
53
ELEVATED
↓ -4 (1d) | +4 (7d)
EERI
--
Personal+
EGSI-M
--
Personal+
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Market Reaction (24h)

TTF Gas
$50.36
+2.17%
VIX
27.29
+3.06
Brent Crude
$100.31
+7.94%
EUR/USD
1.1523
-0.19%
EU Gas Storage
29.1%
-0.1
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Top Risk Events (2)

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Quick ISW-CTP (Institute for the Study of War Critical Threats Project) snapshot on the Iran war: US & Israel keep pounding: - 300+ targets hit across Iran (missile sites, IRGC bases, airfields) - 170+ Hezbollah spots taken out in Lebanon (command ce - x.com
Region: Middle East Severity: 5/5 Category: war Confidence: 13%
Brent Closes Above $100 Amid Gulf Crisis
Region: Global Severity: 5/5 Category: supply_disruption Confidence: 10%
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Executive Intelligence Brief

AI-Generated

EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT


Global risk tone remains elevated amid intensified Middle East conflict and energy market stress. Key drivers include sustained US-Israel strikes on Iranian and Hezbollah targets and Brent crude breaching $100 on Gulf supply concerns. Elevated volatility (VIX +3%) and tighter EU gas storage underline broader market nervousness. The combination signals heightened geopolitical risk feeding into energy price spikes and market uncertainty. Traders should anticipate continued risk premiums in oil and gas markets as conflict dynamics evolve.

BASIC ASSET MOVES


  • Brent Crude: $100.31 (+7.94%)

  • TTF Gas: €50.36/MWh (+2.17%)

  • VIX: 27.29 (+3.06%)

  • EUR/USD: 1.1523 (-0.19%)

  • EU Gas Storage: 29.1% (-0.10%)


GERI DIRECTION


GERI at 53, down 4 points, indicating a slight easing from recent peak risk but still elevated. The index suggests persistent geopolitical tensions remain a market headwind despite minor short-term pullback.

SHORT WATCHLIST


  • Monitor US-Israel military operations for escalation or de-escalation signals impacting Middle East supply routes.

  • Watch Brent crude’s ability to sustain above $100 amid Gulf crisis; a break below could signal temporary risk reprieve.


Informational only. Not financial advice.
Informational only. Not financial advice. | EnergyRiskIQ Intelligence Engine
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