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GERI EERI EGSI‑M Brent TTF
Live Data Engine — EnergyRiskIQ
📅 May 13, 2026

Global Energy Risk Snapshot

Live risk indices, commodity prices and geopolitical watchlist — updated daily from the EnergyRiskIQ intelligence pipeline.

Current Energy Risk Environment
📸  Current Energy Risk Environment — May 13, 2026
Oil rig
Brent Crude Oil
$107.32
▼ -0.45 | -0.42% d/d
LNG ship
TTF Natural Gas
€46.51/MWh
▼ -0.20 d/d
EnergyRiskIQ’s Indices:
GERI (Global Energy Risk Index): 17/100
LOWHIGH
GERI: 17
LOW
– GERI at 17 reflects low global energy risk amid easing geopolitical tensions and stable market fundamentals.
EERI (European Energy Risk Index):
LOWHIGH
EERI: 16
16 (+4)
– EERI rose to 16 due to increased European gas price volatility and below-average storage levels raising supply concerns.
EGSI-M (Energy Geopolitical Stress Index – Middle East: 5.9)
– EGSI-M remains low at 5.9, driven by limited recent drone strikes on UAE and Fujairah oil infrastructure.
– Low EGSI-M stress supports steady Middle East oil flows, but cautious monitoring continues given EU gas storage deficits.
EU Gas Storage Levels: 35.60% full
• EU gas storage at 35.6%, well below the 55% norm, signals elevated seasonal supply risk and limited buffer capacity.
📋 Custom Watchlist
5 active risk vectors being monitored
✓
EU Gas Storage At 35.6% — Below Norm
Storage below seasonal comfort level — supply cushion at risk.
✓
Middle East Oil Infrastructure
Monitor drone strike frequency and damage reports on UAE and Fujairah export facilities.
✓
Strait of Hormuz Traffic
Vessel movements, tanker attack reports, and real-time chokepoint disruption signals.
✓
Ukraine Power Grid Attacks
Frequency and scale of outages affecting European energy transmission and supply.
✓
Helium Supply Chains
Semiconductor industry alerts on helium shortages, production cuts and price spikes.
So we have mixed price action, but a persistently tense risk regime and tight storage. What to watch?

Citation & Reference

When referencing the Global Energy Risk Snapshot in research or publications, please use the following citation:

EnergyRiskIQ (2026).
Global Energy Risk Snapshot — GERI, EERI, EGSI-M. May 13, 2026.
https://energyriskiq.com/data/energy-risk-snapshot

For BibTeX, APA, or other citation formats, see the full Methodology section.

△
EU Gas Storage
35.60% full
Seasonal norm: 55.0%  •  Deviation: -19.4%  •  Risk band: ELEVATED
35.6% full  |  norm 55.0%
Seasonal norm 55.0%  │  Current 35.6%
Key Market Prices
Brent Crude Oil
$107.32
▼ -0.45 | -0.42% d/d
Intraday 15:00 UTC
TTF Natural Gas
€46.51/MWh
▼ -0.20 d/d
Daily Close — 2026-05-12
VIX Volatility Index
17.99
▼ -0.39 d/d
CBOE — 2026-05-12
LNG JKM (Asia)
$16.98/MMBtu
▲ +0.24% d/d
Platts JKM — 2026-05-12
Risk Intelligence Interpretation
EnergyRiskIQ Daily Assessment

The Global Energy Risk Index (GERI) has decreased to 17, indicating a generally low global risk environment despite a 6-point drop. Conversely, the European Energy Risk Index (EERI) increased by 4 points to 16, reflecting heightened regional concerns driven by TTF natural gas prices at €46.51/MWh and EU gas storage at a critically low 35.6%, well below the 55% seasonal norm. The EGSI-M remains low at 5.9, with minimal recent disruptions to Middle East oil infrastructure, supporting Brent crude prices steady at $107.32/bbl. Volatility measured by the VIX at 17.99 and LNG JKM prices at $16.98/MMBtu underscore ongoing market sensitivity. Overall, the low GERI contrasts with elevated European supply risk due to storage deficits and price pressures, warranting close watch on geopolitical and infrastructure developments.

Indices powered by EnergyRiskIQ's proprietary GERI, EERI and EGSI methodology. Data as of 2026-05-12.
Data Sources & Methodology: Index values (GERI, EERI, EGSI-M) are proprietary EnergyRiskIQ calculations updated daily from live alert pipelines. Commodity prices sourced from OilPrice API (Brent, WTI, US Natural Gas) and market data providers (TTF, LNG JKM, VIX, EUR/USD). Indices represent risk scoring on a 0–100 scale: LOW (0–20), MODERATE (21–40), ELEVATED (41–60), SEVERE (61–80), CRITICAL (81–100). Full methodology available at GERI Methodology • EERI Methodology • EGSI Methodology.
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