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GERI EERI EGSI‑M Brent TTF
Live Data Engine — EnergyRiskIQ
📅 October 15, 2026

Global Energy Risk Snapshot

Live risk indices, commodity prices and geopolitical watchlist — updated daily from the EnergyRiskIQ intelligence pipeline.

Current Energy Risk Environment
📸  Current Energy Risk Environment — October 15, 2026
Oil rig
Brent Crude Oil
$104.51
▼ -1.55 | -1.46% d/d
LNG ship
TTF Natural Gas
€87.58/MWh
▲ +0.83 d/d
EnergyRiskIQ’s Indices:
GERI (Global Energy Risk Index): 28/100
LOWHIGH
GERI: 28
MODERATE
– GERI rose to 28 due to increased drone strike activity targeting Middle East oil infrastructure, raising global supply concerns.
EERI (European Energy Risk Index):
LOWHIGH
EERI: 55
55 (+2)
– EERI climbed to 55 driven by below-normal EU gas storage at 74%, heightening fears of winter supply tightness amid ongoing grid attacks.
EGSI-M (Energy Geopolitical Stress Index – Middle East: 8.0)
– Low EGSI-M at 8.0 reflects limited recent escalation in Strait of Hormuz tensions despite persistent regional risks.
– Stable Middle East stress supports steady LNG flows, partially offsetting European gas storage deficits and supply risks.
EU Gas Storage Levels: 74.00% full
• EU gas storage at 74% is 18% below seasonal norm, signaling moderate risk for winter supply shortages.
📋 Custom Watchlist
5 active risk vectors being monitored
✓
Middle East Oil Infrastructure
Monitor drone strike frequency and damage reports on UAE and Fujairah export facilities.
✓
Strait of Hormuz Traffic
Vessel movements, tanker attack reports, and real-time chokepoint disruption signals.
✓
Ukraine Power Grid Attacks
Frequency and scale of outages affecting European energy transmission and supply.
✓
Helium Supply Chains
Semiconductor industry alerts on helium shortages, production cuts and price spikes.
✓
European Gas Storage
Weekly storage fill rates vs seasonal norms. Key indicator for winter supply cushion.
So we have mixed price action, but a persistently tense risk regime and tight storage. What to watch?

Citation & Reference

When referencing the Global Energy Risk Snapshot in research or publications, please use the following citation:

EnergyRiskIQ (2026).
Global Energy Risk Snapshot — GERI, EERI, EGSI-M. October 15, 2026.
https://energyriskiq.com/data/energy-risk-snapshot

For BibTeX, APA, or other citation formats, see the full Methodology section.

△
EU Gas Storage
74.00% full
Seasonal norm: 92.0%  •  Deviation: -18.0%  •  Risk band: MODERATE
74.0% full  |  norm 92.0%
Seasonal norm 92.0%  │  Current 74.0%
Key Market Prices
Brent Crude Oil
$104.51
▼ -1.55 | -1.46% d/d
Intraday 1:00 UTC
TTF Natural Gas
€87.58/MWh
▲ +0.83 d/d
Daily Close — 2026-10-14
VIX Volatility Index
16.87
▲ +1.60 d/d
CBOE — 2026-10-14
LNG JKM (Asia)
$26.39/MMBtu
▲ +0.46% d/d
Platts JKM — 2026-10-14
Risk Intelligence Interpretation
EnergyRiskIQ Daily Assessment

The Global Energy Risk Index (GERI) increased by 4 points to 28, primarily due to heightened drone strikes on UAE and Fujairah oil facilities, pressuring Brent crude prices to $104.51/bbl. European Energy Risk Index (EERI) rose 2 points to 55, reflecting elevated risk from EU gas storage at 74%, well below the 92% seasonal norm, and ongoing Ukraine power grid disruptions impacting supply stability. Despite a low EGSI-M score of 8.0 indicating limited Middle East geopolitical escalation, the moderate storage deficit and elevated TTF gas price of €87.58/MWh underscore winter supply vulnerabilities. VIX at 16.87 suggests moderate market volatility, while LNG JKM at $26.39/MMBtu highlights tight Asian demand, collectively signaling cautious risk management ahead.

Indices powered by EnergyRiskIQ's proprietary GERI, EERI and EGSI methodology. Data as of 2026-10-14.
Data Sources & Methodology: Index values (GERI, EERI, EGSI-M) are proprietary EnergyRiskIQ calculations updated daily from live alert pipelines. Commodity prices sourced from OilPrice API (Brent, WTI, US Natural Gas) and market data providers (TTF, LNG JKM, VIX, EUR/USD). Indices represent risk scoring on a 0–100 scale: LOW (0–20), MODERATE (21–40), ELEVATED (41–60), SEVERE (61–80), CRITICAL (81–100). Full methodology available at GERI Methodology • EERI Methodology • EGSI Methodology.
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