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GERI EERI EGSI‑M Brent TTF
Live Data Engine — EnergyRiskIQ
📅 July 15, 2026

Global Energy Risk Snapshot

Live risk indices, commodity prices and geopolitical watchlist — updated daily from the EnergyRiskIQ intelligence pipeline.

Current Energy Risk Environment
📸  Current Energy Risk Environment — July 15, 2026
Oil rig
Brent Crude Oil
$85.42
▲ +0.69 | +0.81% d/d
LNG ship
TTF Natural Gas
€54.61/MWh
▲ +2.07 d/d
EnergyRiskIQ’s Indices:
GERI (Global Energy Risk Index): 46/100
LOWHIGH
GERI: 46
ELEVATED
– GERI rose to 46 due to increased drone strikes on Middle East oil infrastructure and tightening global energy markets.
EERI (European Energy Risk Index):
LOWHIGH
EERI: 14
14 (-14)
– EERI dropped to 14 as European gas prices eased amid lower demand and improved supply expectations.
EGSI-M (Energy Geopolitical Stress Index – Middle East: 5.1)
– Low EGSI-M at 5.1 reflects minimal recent disruption in Middle East geopolitical tensions despite ongoing infrastructure risks.
– Stable EGSI-M supports continued oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz, mitigating further pressure on EU gas storage deficits.
EU Gas Storage Levels: 52.50% full
• EU gas storage at 52.5%, 22.5% below norm, signals elevated risk for winter supply shortages without prompt replenishment.
📋 Custom Watchlist
5 active risk vectors being monitored
✓
Middle East Oil Infrastructure
Monitor drone strike frequency and damage reports on UAE and Fujairah export facilities.
✓
Strait of Hormuz Traffic
Vessel movements, tanker attack reports, and real-time chokepoint disruption signals.
✓
Ukraine Power Grid Attacks
Frequency and scale of outages affecting European energy transmission and supply.
✓
Helium Supply Chains
Semiconductor industry alerts on helium shortages, production cuts and price spikes.
✓
European Gas Storage
Weekly storage fill rates vs seasonal norms. Key indicator for winter supply cushion.
So we have mixed price action, but a persistently tense risk regime and tight storage. What to watch?

Citation & Reference

When referencing the Global Energy Risk Snapshot in research or publications, please use the following citation:

EnergyRiskIQ (2026).
Global Energy Risk Snapshot — GERI, EERI, EGSI-M. July 15, 2026.
https://energyriskiq.com/data/energy-risk-snapshot

For BibTeX, APA, or other citation formats, see the full Methodology section.

△
EU Gas Storage
52.50% full
Seasonal norm: 75.0%  •  Deviation: -22.5%  •  Risk band: ELEVATED
52.5% full  |  norm 75.0%
Seasonal norm 75.0%  │  Current 52.5%
Key Market Prices
Brent Crude Oil
$85.42
▲ +0.69 | +0.81% d/d
Intraday 10:00 UTC
TTF Natural Gas
€54.61/MWh
▲ +2.07 d/d
Daily Close — 2026-07-14
VIX Volatility Index
16.50
▼ -0.66 d/d
CBOE — 2026-07-14
LNG JKM (Asia)
$16.65/MMBtu
▲ +0.73% d/d
Platts JKM — 2026-07-14
Risk Intelligence Interpretation
EnergyRiskIQ Daily Assessment

The Global Energy Risk Index (GERI) climbed 6 points to 46, driven by escalating drone attacks targeting UAE and Fujairah oil facilities, pushing Brent crude to $85.42/bbl amid supply concerns. Conversely, the European Energy Risk Index (EERI) fell 14 points to 14 as TTF gas prices eased to €54.61/MWh, reflecting reduced demand and improved supply outlooks. The Middle East Geopolitical Stress Index (EGSI-M) remains low at 5.1, indicating stable regional tensions that help maintain Strait of Hormuz traffic flows. However, EU gas storage at 52.5%—22.5% below seasonal norms—combined with elevated GERI and a moderate VIX of 16.5, underscores heightened winter supply risks, especially given LNG JKM prices at $16.65/MMBtu signaling tight global gas markets.

Indices powered by EnergyRiskIQ's proprietary GERI, EERI and EGSI methodology. Data as of 2026-07-14.
Data Sources & Methodology: Index values (GERI, EERI, EGSI-M) are proprietary EnergyRiskIQ calculations updated daily from live alert pipelines. Commodity prices sourced from OilPrice API (Brent, WTI, US Natural Gas) and market data providers (TTF, LNG JKM, VIX, EUR/USD). Indices represent risk scoring on a 0–100 scale: LOW (0–20), MODERATE (21–40), ELEVATED (41–60), SEVERE (61–80), CRITICAL (81–100). Full methodology available at GERI Methodology • EERI Methodology • EGSI Methodology.
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