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GERI EERI EGSI‑M Brent TTF
Live Data Engine — EnergyRiskIQ
📅 July 14, 2026

Global Energy Risk Snapshot

Live risk indices, commodity prices and geopolitical watchlist — updated daily from the EnergyRiskIQ intelligence pipeline.

Current Energy Risk Environment
📸  Current Energy Risk Environment — July 14, 2026
Oil rig
Brent Crude Oil
$84.78
▲ +1.48 | +1.78% d/d
LNG ship
TTF Natural Gas
€49.65/MWh
▲ +0.85 d/d
EnergyRiskIQ’s Indices:
GERI (Global Energy Risk Index): 16/100
LOWHIGH
GERI: 16
LOW
– GERI remains low at 16/100, reflecting stable global energy markets with no major disruptions reported today.
EERI (European Energy Risk Index):
LOWHIGH
EERI: 28
28 (+7)
– EERI rose to 28/100 due to increased European gas supply concerns amid below-normal storage levels and rising TTF prices.
EGSI-M (Energy Geopolitical Stress Index – Middle East: 7.8)
– Low geopolitical stress in the Middle East (EGSI-M 7.8) persists despite ongoing monitoring of UAE oil infrastructure threats.
– Minimal Middle East tensions currently exert limited pressure on global supply, but regional risks keep European gas security uncertain.
EU Gas Storage Levels: 52.20% full
• EU gas storage at 52.2%, well below the 75% norm, signals elevated risk for winter supply shortages and price volatility.
📋 Custom Watchlist
5 active risk vectors being monitored
✓
Middle East Oil Infrastructure
Monitor drone strike frequency and damage reports on UAE and Fujairah export facilities.
✓
Strait of Hormuz Traffic
Vessel movements, tanker attack reports, and real-time chokepoint disruption signals.
✓
Ukraine Power Grid Attacks
Frequency and scale of outages affecting European energy transmission and supply.
✓
Helium Supply Chains
Semiconductor industry alerts on helium shortages, production cuts and price spikes.
✓
European Gas Storage
Weekly storage fill rates vs seasonal norms. Key indicator for winter supply cushion.
So we have mixed price action, but a persistently tense risk regime and tight storage. What to watch?

Citation & Reference

When referencing the Global Energy Risk Snapshot in research or publications, please use the following citation:

EnergyRiskIQ (2026).
Global Energy Risk Snapshot — GERI, EERI, EGSI-M. July 14, 2026.
https://energyriskiq.com/data/energy-risk-snapshot

For BibTeX, APA, or other citation formats, see the full Methodology section.

△
EU Gas Storage
52.20% full
Seasonal norm: 75.0%  •  Deviation: -22.8%  •  Risk band: ELEVATED
52.2% full  |  norm 75.0%
Seasonal norm 75.0%  │  Current 52.2%
Key Market Prices
Brent Crude Oil
$84.78
▲ +1.48 | +1.78% d/d
Intraday 3:00 UTC
TTF Natural Gas
€49.65/MWh
▲ +0.85 d/d
Daily Close — 2026-07-12
VIX Volatility Index
15.03
▼ -0.81 d/d
CBOE — 2026-07-10
LNG JKM (Asia)
$16.52/MMBtu
▲ +0.00% d/d
Platts JKM — 2026-07-12
Risk Intelligence Interpretation
EnergyRiskIQ Daily Assessment

The Global Energy Risk Index (16/100) remains low, reflecting steady global supply conditions despite Brent crude holding at $84.78/bbl and moderate volatility (VIX 15.03). However, the European Energy Risk Index climbed 7 points to 28/100, driven by EU gas storage at just 52.2%, significantly below the 75% seasonal norm, and TTF natural gas prices elevated at €49.65/MWh. The Middle East Geopolitical Stress Index remains low at 7.8, indicating limited immediate disruption risk, though ongoing threats to UAE oil infrastructure warrant close watch. LNG JKM prices at $16.52/MMBtu highlight Asia’s continued demand pressure, underscoring tight global gas markets that compound European supply concerns heading into winter.

Indices powered by EnergyRiskIQ's proprietary GERI, EERI and EGSI methodology. Data as of 2026-07-12.
Data Sources & Methodology: Index values (GERI, EERI, EGSI-M) are proprietary EnergyRiskIQ calculations updated daily from live alert pipelines. Commodity prices sourced from OilPrice API (Brent, WTI, US Natural Gas) and market data providers (TTF, LNG JKM, VIX, EUR/USD). Indices represent risk scoring on a 0–100 scale: LOW (0–20), MODERATE (21–40), ELEVATED (41–60), SEVERE (61–80), CRITICAL (81–100). Full methodology available at GERI Methodology • EERI Methodology • EGSI Methodology.
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