GERI
Global Energy Risk Index
Locked index valueUnlock with free accountDaily Geo-Energy Intelligence · Archive issue
Energy supply: GERI None | Energy Risk May 25 — May 25, 2026
Bottom line. Global Energy Risk Index (GERI) is None (UNAVAILABLE) on 2026-05-24. The brief covers 0 detected alerts; market observations and headlines describe different parts of energy risk.
You’re reading yesterday’s intelligence. EnergyRiskIQ users saw these signals 24h earlier.
01 / Briefing
Key takeaways
- GERI: None; 1-day change: None.
- 0 alerts considered from 2026-05-24.
- Public intelligence is delayed by 24 hours; 5 market series are available.
02 / Indices
Three lenses on energy risk
GERI is public with a 24-hour delay. Regional index values are account-only; methodology stays open.
EERI
European Energy Risk Index
Locked index valueUnlock with free accountEGSI-M
Europe Gas Stress Index — Market/Transmission
Locked index valueUnlock with free account03 / Market reaction
What markets priced
Daily snapshots with source dates. TTF is quoted in €/MWh; closed-market labels are shown as supplied.
TTF Gas
€46.07/MWh
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-05-22
VIX
16.70 points
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-05-22
Brent Crude
$97.96/bbl
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-05-21
EUR/USD
1.1544 USD/EUR
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-05-22
EU Gas Storage
38.20%
+0.40 pp
Source date: 2026-05-24
04 / Event watch
Top risk events
Severity indicates potential impact; confidence indicates certainty in the signal.
| Event / region / detected | Severity | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
No stored public risk events are available for this digest. | |||
05 / Analysis
Executive intelligence brief
Automated algorithm-generated analysis based on the stored signals. It is not presented as human-reviewed.
1. EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT
- Regime: Stabilizing, with no active risk regime detected (GERI=Locked — free account, EERI=Locked — free account)
- Contagion Status: No contagion signals; risk indices declined (Locked — free account GERI, Locked — free account EERI), indicating reduced systemic stress
- Volatility: VIX steady at 16.7 (-0.06), confirming calm market sentiment
2. FULL INDEX DECOMPOSITION
- GERI (Global Energy Risk Index): Observation unavailable for this date
- EERI (European Energy Risk Index): Locked — free account
- EGSI-M (Europe Gas Stress Index — Market/Transmission): Locked — free account
Only recorded observations are displayed; missing index history is not reconstructed from AI prose.
3. MULTI-REGION SPILLOVER ANALYSIS
- Energy risk signals remain localized with minimal cross-regional spillover
- EU gas storage increase (+0.40%) supports regional supply security, limiting contagion
- Brent and TTF price declines (-6.03%, -5.61%) reflect synchronized global demand easing without triggering contagion
4. CROSS-ASSET SENSITIVITY DASHBOARD
| Market | Recorded quote | Session status / move |
|---|---|---|
| TTF Gas | €46.07/MWh | Markets closed |
| VIX | 16.70 points | Markets closed |
| Brent Crude | $97.96/bbl | Markets closed |
| EUR/USD | 1.1544 USD/EUR | Markets closed |
| EU Gas Storage | 38.20% | +0.40 pp |
Measured cross-asset correlations and sensitivities were not supplied for this archived brief.
5. DIVERGENCE ANALYSIS
- Risk signals (GERI, EERI) and market prices (Brent, TTF) are converging, both trending down
- No significant divergence detected; market pricing aligns with risk signal reductions
6. REGIME CLASSIFICATION + TRANSITION PROBABILITY
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7. SECTOR IMPACT FORECAST
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8. PROBABILITY FORECASTS
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9. SCENARIO FORECASTS
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10. CUSTOM WATCHLIST
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11. STRATEGIC INTERPRETATION
The energy risk environment is currently stabilizing, supported by significant declines in Brent crude (Locked — free account) and TTF gas (Locked — free account) prices alongside a modest increase in EU gas storage. These factors collectively reduce systemic risk, reflected in the sharp fall of the GERI index (Locked — free account points) and a smaller drop in EERI (Locked — free account points). The market’s calm is confirmed by stable equity volatility (VIX near Locked — free account). Cross-asset sensitivity analysis underscores the strong linkage between energy prices and risk indices, with no divergence suggesting market and risk signals are aligned. The low probability (<Locked — free account) of regime transition indicates a low likelihood of near-term stress escalation, but vigilance on geopolitical developments and storage trends remains critical. Sector-wise, power and industrial sectors stand to benefit from lower input costs, while LNG exporters face margin pressure. Overall, the risk landscape favors a cautious but constructive stance, emphasizing monitoring for any abrupt geopolitical or supply shocks.
Informational only. Not financial advice.
06 / Calibration
Yesterday’s call vs. what happened
No prior forecast-and-outcome pair is stored for this issue yet.
07 / Access
Public digest vs. account access
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| Access | Public Digest | EnergyRiskIQ Account | Daily Intelligence Report |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delivery timing | Public issue is 24h delayed. | Full core dashboards and scenarios. Timing varies by product; real-time features depend on subscription. | Account-managed paid product. Availability and delivery depend on the account subscription. |
| GERI / EERI / EGSI-M | GERI public reading; EERI and EGSI-M values are locked. | Core index dashboards are available with an account. | Access depends on the account subscription. |
| Real-time alerts | A snapshot, not a continuous alert feed. | Availability depends on product subscription. | Availability depends on product subscription. |
| Full scenarios & probabilities | Selected executive-brief sections are locked. | Available with an account. | Available according to product access. |
| Archive access | Public daily issues. | Core archive access. | Subject to account subscription. |
| Access action | Create free account | Create free account | Explore report in your account |
A free account provides core dashboards and scenarios; it does not automatically include every real-time feature.
08 / Method
Evidence, method and limits
Currently monitored sources: 41 (directory snapshot; historical issue coverage was not recorded).
The digest is produced by an automated algorithm that processes stored risk indicators, market observations and event signals. The public version is delayed 24 hours; no human review is claimed here.
GERI methodology: Global Energy Risk Index. Related methods: European Energy Risk Index (EERI) and Europe Gas Stress Index – Market (EGSI-M).
Interpretation, not advice.
Index readings and scenarios are analytical signals, not investment, trading or risk-management advice. Data availability and reporting times vary by source and market schedule.
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