Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - March 01, 2026

EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT

Global risk tone remains elevated and is rising, driven primarily by critical EU gas storage deficits and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. EU gas storage is significantly below seasonal norms at 30.0%, a 20% negative deviation, signaling supply stress. Concurrently, UN condemnation of US-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliatory actions heighten regional conflict risk. These factors collectively suggest increased volatility and potential supply disruptions in energy markets.

BASIC ASSET MOVES

• Brent Crude: $72.48 (unchanged)


• TTF Gas: €31.51 (unchanged)


• VIX: 19.86 (+1.23)


• EUR/USD: 1.1817 (+0.17%)


• EU Gas Storage: 30.0% (-0.10%)

GERI DIRECTION

• Current Value: 50


• Direction: +18 points


• Interpretation: A sharp increase in the Global Energy Risk Index indicates a rapid escalation in perceived energy market risks, reflecting supply concerns and geopolitical instability.

SHORT WATCHLIST

• Monitor EU gas storage trends for further deviations below seasonal norms that could trigger price spikes.


• Watch Middle East geopolitical developments for escalation or de-escalation signals impacting oil supply routes.

Informational only. Not financial advice.