Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - February 15, 2026

EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT

Global risk tone is stabilizing amid mixed signals from energy and geopolitical fronts. Key drivers include persistent low EU gas storage at 34.0% (16% below seasonal norms) and ongoing Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Despite these pressures, Brent crude remains flat while European gas prices have sharply corrected. The risk environment suggests cautious market sentiment balancing supply concerns against easing price volatility.

BASIC ASSET MOVES

• Brent Crude: 67.75 (unchanged)


• TTF Gas: 31.0 (-4.11%)


• VIX: 20.6 (-0.22)


• EUR/USD: 1.1868 (-0.03%)


• EU Gas Storage: 34.0% (-0.40%)

GERI DIRECTION

Current GERI: 25, down 4 points. The decline indicates a modest easing in global energy risk perception, likely driven by the recent drop in European gas prices despite underlying supply vulnerabilities.

SHORT WATCHLIST

• Monitor EU gas storage trends for potential further deviations below seasonal norms, which could trigger renewed price volatility.


• Watch for escalation or de-escalation in Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy grid, as this remains a critical geopolitical risk factor influencing European energy markets.

Informational only. Not financial advice.