Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - March 31, 2026
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Global Risk Tone: Low
Based on 20 alerts analyzed from 2026-03-30
Index Movement Summary
GERI
27
MODERATE
↑ +2 (1d) | -4 (7d)
EERI
--
Personal+
EGSI-M
--
Personal+
Market Reaction (24h)
TTF Gas
$54.82
+0.55%
VIX
30.61
-0.44
Brent Crude
$115.33
+0.46%
EUR/USD
1.1544
-0.23%
EU Gas Storage
28.1%
0.0
Top Risk Events (2)
Oil Spike Collides With Fragile Global Growth
Fitch signals downgrade risk for Qatar over post-Iran war security concerns - Reuters
Executive Intelligence Brief
Algorithm-GeneratedEXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT
Global risk tone remains low despite rising tensions. Key drivers include a sharp oil price increase amid fragile European growth and Fitch’s downgrade warning on Qatar linked to Middle East security risks post-Iran war. These factors suggest localized geopolitical stress with limited spillover to broader markets. The moderate rise in energy risk indices indicates cautious market positioning without triggering widespread risk aversion.
BASIC ASSET MOVES
- Brent Crude: $115.33 (+0.46%)
- TTF Gas: €54.82/MWh (+0.55%)
- VIX: 30.61 (-0.44%)
- EUR/USD: 1.1544 (-0.23%)
- EU Gas Storage: 28.1% (unchanged)
GERI DIRECTION
GERI at 27, up 2 points. The index is edging higher, reflecting increased geopolitical tension primarily from energy price shocks and Middle Eastern credit concerns, but still within a low-risk range.
SHORT WATCHLIST
- Monitor oil price trajectory as supply concerns from Middle East instability may further pressure Brent, impacting European growth outlook.
- Watch Fitch’s rating actions on Qatar for potential contagion effects on regional energy credit markets and related risk premiums.
Informational only. Not financial advice.
Informational only. Not financial advice. | EnergyRiskIQ Intelligence Engine