Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - February 23, 2026

EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT

Global risk tone remains moderate with a slight uptick in geopolitical tensions and energy supply concerns. Key drivers include a significant drop in EU gas storage levels to 30.7%, well below seasonal norms, and renewed Russian missile and drone strikes on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. These factors sustain pressure on European energy security despite stable TTF gas prices. The moderate risk environment reflects ongoing uncertainty around energy supply disruptions and regional conflict escalation.

BASIC ASSET MOVES

• Brent Crude: 71.28 (-0.67%)


• TTF Gas: 31.52 (unchanged)


• VIX: 19.09 (-1.14)


• EUR/USD: 1.1782 (+0.09%)


• EU Gas Storage: 30.8 (-0.10)

GERI DIRECTION

Current GERI: 37, up +9 points
The sharp rise in the Global Energy Risk Index signals increasing concern, primarily driven by deteriorating European gas storage and conflict-related supply risks.

SHORT WATCHLIST

• Monitor EU gas storage trends closely; further declines below 30% could trigger supply tightening and price volatility.


• Watch for escalation or de-escalation in Ukraine energy infrastructure attacks, which may impact European energy markets and risk sentiment.

Informational only. Not financial advice.