Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence Digest - February 12, 2026
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Global Risk Tone: Low
Based on 20 alerts analyzed from 2026-02-11
Index Movement Summary
GERI
11
LOW
↑ +4 (1d) | -14 (7d)
EERI
--
Personal+
EGSI-M
--
Personal+
Market Reaction (24h)
TTF Gas
$32.24
+1.54%
VIX
17.65
-0.14
Brent Crude
$69.63
+0.80%
EUR/USD
1.1871
-0.20%
EU Gas Storage
35.2%
-0.4
Top Risk Events (2)
EU Winter Gas Supply Risk: CRITICAL - Storage at 35.1%
FX Risk Rising in Europe
Executive Intelligence Brief
AI-GeneratedEXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT
Global risk tone remains low despite critical alerts on European energy supply and FX risk. Key drivers include the critical EU winter gas supply risk with storage at 35.1%, a sharp increase in European FX risk, and rising energy prices. The European Energy Risk Index (EERI) surged by 25 points, signaling heightened regional stress. This suggests localized vulnerabilities in Europe could pressure energy markets and currency stability, even as broader market volatility (VIX) remains subdued.
BASIC ASSET MOVES
- Brent Crude: +0.80% to 69.63 USD/bbl
- TTF Gas: +1.54% to 32.24 EUR/MWh
- VIX: -0.14 to 17.65
- EUR/USD: -0.20% to 1.1871
- EU Gas Storage: -0.40% to 35.2% capacity
GERI DIRECTION
Current Value: 11 (up 4)
Interpretation: Moderate increase in global energy risk sentiment, reflecting rising concerns primarily driven by European supply and FX issues, though still at a low overall risk level.
SHORT WATCHLIST
- Monitor EU gas storage trends closely; further declines below 35% could escalate supply risk and price volatility.
- Watch EUR/USD for continued downside pressure amid rising European FX risk, potentially impacting energy import costs.
Informational only. Not financial advice.
Informational only. Not financial advice. | EnergyRiskIQ Intelligence Engine