GERI
Global Energy Risk Index
29 / 100
MODERATE1 day -40 · 7 day -16
Daily Geo-Energy Intelligence · Archive issue
High-Impact Event Detected: GERI 29 | Energy Risk Feb 1 — February 01, 2026
Bottom line. Global Energy Risk Index (GERI) is 29 (MODERATE) on 2026-01-31. The brief covers 16 detected alerts; market observations and headlines describe different parts of energy risk.
You’re reading yesterday’s intelligence. EnergyRiskIQ users saw these signals 24h earlier.
01 / Briefing
Key takeaways
- GERI: 29; 1-day change: -40.
- 16 alerts considered from 2026-01-31.
- Public intelligence is delayed by 24 hours; 5 market series are available.
02 / Indices
Three lenses on energy risk
GERI is public with a 24-hour delay. Regional index values are account-only; methodology stays open.
EERI
European Energy Risk Index
Locked index valueUnlock with free accountEGSI-M
Europe Gas Stress Index — Market/Transmission
Locked index valueUnlock with free account03 / Market reaction
What markets priced
Daily snapshots with source dates. TTF is quoted in €/MWh; closed-market labels are shown as supplied.
TTF Gas
€35.11/MWh
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-01-29
VIX
17.44 points
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-01-30
Brent Crude
$70.69/bbl
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-01-30
EUR/USD
1.1851 USD/EUR
Markets closed
Source date: 2026-01-29
EU Gas Storage
41.10%
-0.50 pp
Source date: 2026-01-31
04 / Event watch
Top risk events
Severity indicates potential impact; confidence indicates certainty in the signal.
| Event / region / detected | Severity | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| High-Impact Event Detected (Europe) | 5 | 95.0% | Al Jazeera News |
| High-Impact Event Detected (Europe) | 5 | 95.0% | Al Jazeera News |
05 / Analysis
Executive intelligence brief
Automated algorithm-generated analysis based on the stored signals. It is not presented as human-reviewed.
1. Executive risk snapshot
## EXECUTIVE RISK SNAPSHOT
- Global risk tone is stabilizing despite significant event alerts in Europe.
- Europe experienced two simultaneous high-impact events, driving heightened regional uncertainty.
- Equity and energy risk indices declined, signaling reduced market stress but persistent caution.
- EUR/USD weakened notably, reflecting eurozone risk perceptions and potential capital flows.
- Interpretation: Market participants are digesting European shocks, leading to cautious positioning; energy prices show mixed reactions amid regional concerns and easing gas prices.
## BASIC ASSET MOVES
- Brent Crude: 70.69, unchanged.
- TTF Gas: 35.11, down 7.63%.
- VIX: 17.44, up 0.56 points.
- EUR/USD: 1.1851, down 1.00%.
- EU Gas Storage: 41.1%, down 0.50%.
## GERI DIRECTION
- GERI at 29, down 40 points.
- Interpretation: Significant drop in global energy risk index suggests easing systemic energy market stress despite regional shocks.
## SHORT WATCHLIST
- Monitor European geopolitical developments for potential follow-on impacts on gas supply and prices.
- Watch EUR/USD for further weakness that could signal broader eurozone risk aversion affecting energy demand forecasts.
Informational only. Not financial advice.
06 / Calibration
Yesterday’s call vs. what happened
No prior forecast-and-outcome pair is stored for this issue yet.
07 / Access
Public digest vs. account access
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| Access | Public Digest | EnergyRiskIQ Account | Daily Intelligence Report |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delivery timing | Public issue is 24h delayed. | Full core dashboards and scenarios. Timing varies by product; real-time features depend on subscription. | Account-managed paid product. Availability and delivery depend on the account subscription. |
| GERI / EERI / EGSI-M | GERI public reading; EERI and EGSI-M values are locked. | Core index dashboards are available with an account. | Access depends on the account subscription. |
| Real-time alerts | A snapshot, not a continuous alert feed. | Availability depends on product subscription. | Availability depends on product subscription. |
| Full scenarios & probabilities | Selected executive-brief sections are locked. | Available with an account. | Available according to product access. |
| Archive access | Public daily issues. | Core archive access. | Subject to account subscription. |
| Access action | Create free account | Create free account | Explore report in your account |
A free account provides core dashboards and scenarios; it does not automatically include every real-time feature.
08 / Method
Evidence, method and limits
Currently monitored sources: 41 (directory snapshot; historical issue coverage was not recorded).
The digest is produced by an automated algorithm that processes stored risk indicators, market observations and event signals. The public version is delayed 24 hours; no human review is claimed here.
GERI methodology: Global Energy Risk Index. Related methods: European Energy Risk Index (EERI) and Europe Gas Stress Index – Market (EGSI-M).
Interpretation, not advice.
Index readings and scenarios are analytical signals, not investment, trading or risk-management advice. Data availability and reporting times vary by source and market schedule.
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